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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Brest logo

St Etienne
2 - 1
Brest

Camara (14', 39')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Honorat (8')
Pierre-Gabriel (74'), Belkebla (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Saint-Etienne 3-2 Brest

Low-scoring affairs have not been on the menu for Saint-Etienne recently, and they should fancy their chances against a Brest side who just cannot keep the back door shut away from home, especially with Khazri back and raring to go. Les Verts' own defensive deficiencies means that Brest can feel confident of notching up a couple themselves, but a Saint-Etienne side desperate to respond in front of their own fans can edge their way to three points against a Brest side who have very little left to fight for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawBrest
40.04%26.25%33.71%
Both teams to score 53.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44%51.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.64%73.36%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67%25.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89%60.11%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71%29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1%64.9%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 40.03%
    Brest 33.71%
    Draw 26.25%
Saint-EtienneDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.09%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.71%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Brest

Saint-Etienne
53.9%
Draw
19.1%
Brest
27.0%
89
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 6pm
Brest
1-0
St Etienne
Faivre (64' pen.)
Pierre-Gabriel (60'), Agoume (67')

Gourna-Douath (58'), Trauco (64'), Nordin (86')
Apr 24, 2021 12pm
St Etienne
1-2
Brest
Khazri (11'), Charbonnier (66', 79')
Youssouf (65'), Belkebla (77'), Camara (90+1')
Nov 21, 2020 4pm
Brest
4-1
St Etienne
Honorat (7'), Duverne (23'), Cardona (33'), Mounie (38')
Brassier (30')
Camara (31')
Trauco (55')
Feb 16, 2020 4pm
Brest
3-2
St Etienne
Lasne (20'), Charbonnier (38'), Cardona (43')
Chardonnet (51'), Larsonneur (55')
Bouanga (54' pen.), Diony (69')
Macon (2'), Bouanga (55'), Cabaye (83')
Aug 18, 2019 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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