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Monaco
Europa League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Braga

Monaco
1 - 1
Braga

Disasi (90')
Lucas (40'), Golovin (62'), Maripan (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ruiz (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Monaco and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Monaco 1-1 Braga (Braga to win 3-1 on aggregate)

Monaco have struggled for goals of late, scoring in only one of their last three games, and they were frustrated in last week's first leg. Another challenging affair could be on the cards for the hosts on Thursday. Braga are expected to take a more cautious approach to the second leg and even if their French counterparts do breach their backline, they should have enough resilience in their side to hold on for victory on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Braga had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MonacoDrawBraga
50.38%24.09%25.53%
Both teams to score 55.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56%46.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28%68.72%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53%18.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33%49.66%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77%32.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28%68.72%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 50.38%
    Braga 25.53%
    Draw 24.08%
MonacoDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 25.53%

How you voted: Monaco vs Braga

Monaco
48.7%
Draw
20.8%
Braga
30.5%
154
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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