Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.