MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 22:09:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
2 - 0
Bastia

Mendy (31'), Brahimi (57')
Gaucho Debohi (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ariss (45')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Martigues 0-3 Caen
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 2-2 Rodez AF
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawBastia
46.64% (-0.509 -0.51) 27.25% (0.199 0.2) 26.11% (0.304 0.3)
Both teams to score 46.29% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.6% (-0.519 -0.52)58.4% (0.514 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21% (-0.406 -0.41)79% (0.402 0.4)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.477 -0.48)25.05% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)59.73% (0.656 0.66)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)38.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01% (-0.02 -0.02)74.99% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Caen 46.63%
    Bastia 26.11%
    Draw 27.24%
CaenDrawBastia
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.58% (0.185 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 9.21% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.11%

Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bastia
1-2
Caen
Santelli (33' pen.)
Charbonnier (81')
Charbonnier (84')
Mbock (60'), Mendy (83' pen.)
Mbock (23'), Thomas (55'), Gaucho Debohi (62'), Le Bihan (90+1')
Dec 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Caen
1-0
Bastia
Mendy (88')
Gaucho Debohi (77'), Brahimi (89')

Keita (33'), Janneh (67'), Djoco (74'), Tavares (90+3')
Feb 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Caen
3-1
Bastia
Saletros (50'), Mendy (69' pen., 82')
Bai (88')
Dec 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Bastia
1-0
Caen
Bai (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Caen
2-1
Bastia
Da Costa (27', 53')
Lepenant (65')
Salles-Lamonge (15')
Santelli (7'), Palun (41'), Le Cardinal (75'), Vincent (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1484222111128
2DunkerqueDunkerque149142318528
3Lorient1483326151127
4Metz147432213925
5Annecy146532118323
6GuingampGuingamp147162419522
7AmiensAmiens146261718-120
8Laval145452116519
9PauPau145451718-119
10Grenoble145361715218
11Bastia133821313017
12Rodez AFRodez AF144462725216
13Clermont144461316-316
14Caen144371720-315
15Troyes144371117-615
16Ajaccio134271014-414
17Red Star144281327-1414
18Martigues14239829-219


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