Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chateauroux win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chateauroux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
