Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris FC in this match.