Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 35.08%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 1-0 (12.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nancy would win this match.