Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 43.79%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.