Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.