Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Pau had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.