Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
