Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
