Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Caen had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
