Atlanta

3 - 1

Chicago Fire

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.