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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Dallas

Atlanta
1 - 1
Dallas

Almiron (17' pen.)
Latte Lath (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musa (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 4-3 NY City
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, March 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-2 Dallas

While Dallas are unbeaten on their travels, Atlanta's home results have been mixed, as highlighted by two wins, a draw and a loss in four. Nonetheless, that defeat was an 89th-minute concession against Inter Miami, a team with superior individual quality to Dallas. Given that the Bulls have scored in every away match and Atlanta's inclination for end-to-end affairs, Saturday's encounter could end in a tie with both sides finding the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Dallas has a probability of 25.83% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Dallas win is 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.16%).

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDallas
51.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.44% (-0.168 -0.17) 25.83% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 61.24% (0.769 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33% (0.947 0.95)38.67% (-0.942 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.03% (0.991 0.99)60.97% (-0.989 -0.99)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (0.345 0.34)15.11% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.34% (0.646 0.65)43.66% (-0.642 -0.64)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.61799999999999 0.62)27.87% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (0.781 0.78)63.47% (-0.77700000000001 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 51.74%
    Dallas 25.83%
    Draw 22.43%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Dallas

Atlanta United
Draw
Dallas
Atlanta United
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Dallas
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
2-2
Atlanta
Arriola (4'), Kamungo (62')
Velasco (53'), Ibeagha (69')
Giakoumakis (44'), Lobzhanidze (58')
Sosa (7'), Giakoumakis (21')
Sep 24, 2020 12am
Apr 20, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 9
Atlanta
1-2
Dallas
Martinez (97' pen.)
Gonzalez Pirez (40'), Larentowicz (61')
Ferreira (6'), Acosta (84')
Hedges (59'), Barrios (63'), Gonzalez (74'), Hayes (96'), Acosta (97')
Jul 5, 2018 1am
Gameweek 21
Dallas
3-2
Atlanta
Ziegler (22'), Akindele (86', 88')
Lamah (14')
Martinez (41', 73')
Escobar (45')
Sep 10, 2017 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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