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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal Impact

Atlanta
3 - 2
Montreal

Latte Lath (41', 63'), Mosquera (85')
Latte Lath (70'), Klich (80'), Mosquera (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Saliba (47'), Osei Owusu (71')
Opoku (34'), Saliba (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, November 24 at 8.30pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Atlanta (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, October 23 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Atlanta United 3-2 CF Montreal

These two sides boast some high-quality attackers, while neither look to be that much better on the back end when compared to 2024. That said, we believe Atlanta's experience will win this opening match for them, as many of their players have experience in finding a way to get ahead in what could be a match littered with opportunities for both sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
56.02% (-0.123 -0.12) 21.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.26% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.46% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (0.034999999999997 0.03)39.09% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.41% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)13.87% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.74% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)41.26% (0.052 0.05)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (0.11 0.11)30.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (0.131 0.13)67.27% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 56.02%
    CF Montreal 22.26%
    Draw 21.71%
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 22.26%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Montreal

Atlanta United
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
CF Montreal
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 12.30am
MLS Cup Play-In Round
Montreal
2-2
Atlanta
(Aggregate 2-2 | Atlanta win 5-4 on penalties)
Martinez (63', 89' pen.)
Campbell (90+7')
Lennon (29'), Rode Gregersen (44')
McCarty (82')
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Montreal
Rios (45+3')
Lennon (55')
Martinez (43', 76')
Duke (39'), Saliba (82')
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
4-1
Montreal
Silva (30'), Almada (33'), Giakoumakis (46'), Mosquera (89')
Robinson (65'), Mosquera (90+1')
Hamdy (40')
Waterman (67'), Choiniere (79')
Waterman (87')
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
0-1
Atlanta

Camacho (53'), Kwizera (84'), Campbell (87')
Lennon (54')
Almada (78'), Guzan (90+10')
rhs 2.0
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