We said: Dallas 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas have not enjoyed the best of starts to the current MLS campaign, but they have shown competitive spirit since the start of the season.
However, they have not been assertive at home this term and are yet to claim their first win in front of their fans this season.
That said, the home side have enough quality to edge the visitors with a 2-1 victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match.