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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Atlanta
0 - 0
NY Red Bulls


Latte Lath (8'), Edwards (40')
FT

Javier Valencia Arauz (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 1 at 7.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 New York Red Bulls

Atlanta are struggling to deal with routine balls in the box and against an opportunistic Red Bulls side, and we fear it will prove costly for the home team on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.74% (0.456 0.46) 22.95% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.3% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.249 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.127 -0.13)42.54% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (-0.126 -0.13)64.94% (0.133 0.13)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (0.11499999999999 0.11)16.15% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (0.208 0.21)45.59% (-0.202 -0.2)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (-0.39 -0.39)31.13% (0.395 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (-0.459 -0.46)67.46% (0.465 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.74%
    New York Red Bulls 24.3%
    Draw 22.95%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 52.74%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.3%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY Red Bulls

Atlanta United
38.9%
Draw
38.9%
New York Red Bulls
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Miranchuk (75' pen.), Wolff (90+7')
Rode Gregersen (70'), Valentino (71')
Ngoma (90+14')
Tolkin (32'), Schwarz (32'), Forsberg (69'), Coronel (70'), Nealis (70'), Eile (90')
Nealis (66')
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-2
Atlanta
Vanzeir (31'), Manoel (90+7')
Carballo (45+2'), Coronel (72'), Nealis (87')
Miranchuk (45+3' pen.), Mosquera (90+2')
Lobzhanidze (68')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
4-0
Atlanta
Edelman (32'), Casseres Jr (45'), Amaya (78', 90')
Casseres Jr (37'), Edelman (54')

Gutman (27'), Chol (82')
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Martinez (90+5')
Gutman (80')
Morgan (11'), Tolkin (15')
Duncan (45+4'), Klimala (66'), Coronel (87')
rhs 2.0
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