Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.