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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Q2 Stadium
Colorado Rapids

Austin
0 - 1
Colorado


Pereira (90'), Svatok (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Navarro (18')
Steffen (83'), Mihailovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 1-0 Austin
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 3-3 Dallas
Sunday, March 2 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Colorado Rapids

While Colorado Rapids will take the positives from their stalemate against Dallas last time out as they set out in search of their first league win, they have failed to win any of their last six competitive games on the road since mid-September. Austin are unbeaten in their most recent three home games against the Rapids and we are backing them to brush off their narrow defeat against Portland by claiming maximum points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawColorado Rapids
61.56% (-0.438 -0.44) 20.99% (0.118 0.12) 17.45% (0.317 0.32)
Both teams to score 53.64% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)42.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (0.018999999999998 0.02)65.28% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.58% (-0.125 -0.13)13.42% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.63% (-0.252 -0.25)40.36% (0.248 0.25)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (0.384 0.38)38.05% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (0.371 0.37)74.81% (-0.374 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 61.55%
    Colorado Rapids 17.45%
    Draw 20.99%
Austin FCDrawColorado Rapids
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 6.9% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 61.55%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.99%
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.45%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2am
Austin
3-2
Colorado
Driussi (8' pen.), Finlay (90+1'), Hines-Ike (90+3')
Cascante (3'), Jimenez (28'), Ring (45+4'), Svatok (61'), Gallagher (73')
Navarro (42'), Fernandez (75' pen.)
Abubakar (30')
Jun 16, 2024 2.30am
Colorado
2-0
Austin
Bassett (22'), Navarro (49')

Obrian (46'), Ring (64')
Oct 1, 2023 2.30am
Colorado
1-0
Austin
Maxso (41')
Bombito (32'), Yapi (76')

Bruin (88'), Rigoni (90+1')
Mar 26, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
rhs 2.0
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