Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Austin3 - 0Houston
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Austin 3-0 Dallas
Thursday, June 22 at 4.07am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, June 22 at 4.07am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Houston 4-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Austin FC 2-1 Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo have defeated Austin twice this year, but this weekend's game is at the Q2 Stadium — where the Oaks have beaten Houston in the last two games played in 2021 and 2022 — and not the Shell Energy Stadium, possibly giving the home side the edge. Houston's poor road form does not help their cause, and it is hard to look beyond a side that have claimed three wins in four on their turf heading into this weekend.How to watch
You can watch Austin FC vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
59.87% ( 0.01) | 21.81% ( -0.01) | 18.32% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.01) | 45.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.01) | 67.39% ( -0.01) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( 0.01) | 14.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.24% ( 0.01) | 42.76% ( -0.01) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0) | 38.32% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.92% ( 0) | 75.08% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Austin FC 59.86%
Houston Dynamo 18.32%
Draw 21.8%
| Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.32% |
How you voted: Austin vs Houston
Austin FC
54.5%Draw
9.1%Houston Dynamo
36.4%11
