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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Austin
3 - 0
Houston

Finlay (22'), Zardes (32'), Cascante (50')
Gallagher (39'), Wolff (45'), Pereira (68'), Lima (75'), Cascante (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sviatchenko (31'), Artur (45+5'), Herrera (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 3-0 Dallas
Thursday, June 22 at 4.07am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 4-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Houston Dynamo

 Houston Dynamo have defeated Austin twice this year, but this weekend's game is at the Q2 Stadium — where the Oaks have beaten Houston in the last two games played in 2021 and 2022 — and not the Shell Energy Stadium, possibly giving the home side the edge. Houston's poor road form does not help their cause, and it is hard to look beyond a side that have claimed three wins in four on their turf heading into this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
59.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 21.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 18.32% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 52.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)45.04% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)67.39% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)14.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.24% (0.012999999999998 0.01)42.76% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.68% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)75.08% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 59.86%
    Houston Dynamo 18.32%
    Draw 21.8%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.76%
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.8%
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 18.32%

How you voted: Austin vs Houston

Austin FC
54.5%
Draw
9.1%
Houston Dynamo
36.4%
11
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Austin
Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Houston
2-0
Austin
> Preview
Jul 13, 2022 2am
Austin
3-1
Houston
Fagundez (15'), Urruti (57'), Ring (70')
Carrasquilla (11')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 6.30pm
Houston
1-2
Austin
Ferreira (5')
Carrasquilla (47'), Hadebe (50'), Parker (88')
Pereira (39'), Driussi (66')
Driussi (36'), Ring (62'), Felipe (90+6')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 42
Austin
2-1
Houston
Maric (7' og.), Driussi (45+4')
Pereira (38'), Driussi (47'), Kolmanic (54')
Cascante (90+2' og.)
Ceren (11'), Vera (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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