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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Houston
4 - 0
Los Angeles

Quinones (11'), Bassi (50' pen.), Baird (69'), Escobar (89')
Clark (53'), Escobar (79'), Baird (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cifuentes (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Los Angeles FC

Neither the hosts nor the visitors will escape the effects of midweek fatigue this week, but Houston's penchant for clean sheets at home coupled with Los Angeles' recent shortcomings in front of goal means that the Black and Gold's struggles could continue at the Shell Energy Stadium. Injuries are hardly helping the champions' cause either, but Guzan was the sole reason for their failure to score against Atlanta, and rectifying such errors in front of goal could see them walk away with a hard-earned point.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles FC
30.11% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 25.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 44.49% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.43% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.12% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.047000000000001 0.05)71.19% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82% (0.085999999999999 0.09)30.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (0.104 0.1)66.33% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)22.05% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)55.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 30.11%
    Los Angeles FC 44.48%
    Draw 25.39%
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles FC
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.6% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.48%

How you voted: Houston vs Los Angeles

Houston Dynamo
47.1%
Draw
23.5%
Los Angeles FC
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2022 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-1
Houston
Vela (8' pen., 45+4' pen.), Hollingshead (52')
Baird (24')
Sep 1, 2022 1.30am
Jun 20, 2021 4am
gameweek 11
Los Angeles
1-1
Houston
Cifuentes (50')
Urruti (58')
Parker (17'), Vera (30'), Picault (71')
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 4
Houston
1-1
Los Angeles
Pasher (57')
Baird (55')
Murillo (29')
Oct 29, 2020 2.30am
gameweek 23
Los Angeles
2-1
Houston
Rossi (9'), Segura (22')
Segura (32'), Cifuentes (84'), Blessing (85')
Lassiter (46')
Vera (33'), Quintero (72'), Garcia (90')
Vera (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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