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Atlanta United
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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 at 4.07am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
FC Dallas

Austin
3 - 0
Dallas

Finlay (17'), Fagundez (42'), Zardes (58')
Wolff (26'), Finlay (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Quignon (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Austin
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Austin vs. Houston
Sunday, June 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Dallas
Monday, June 12 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Dallas vs. Los Angeles
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawDallas
54.8% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 24.29% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 20.9% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (0.13 0.13)51.83% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (0.113 0.11)73.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)50.25% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (0.175 0.17)39.46% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (0.163 0.16)76.15% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 54.79%
    Dallas 20.9%
    Draw 24.29%
Austin FCDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.79%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.9%

How you voted: Austin vs Dallas

Austin FC
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Dallas
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Oct 24, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Austin
2-1
Dallas
Jul 17, 2022 2am
Jun 26, 2022 2am
Oct 31, 2021 1am
Gameweek 43
Dallas
2-1
Austin
Twumasi (23'), Cerrillo (48')
Romana (14'), Stuver (72'), Fagundez (83')
Jimenez (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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