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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025 at 6.45pm UK
Q2 Stadium
LA Galaxy

Austin
1 - 0
LA Galaxy

Vazquez (81')
Hines-Ike (90+2')
Hines-Ike (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Parente (53'), Cerrillo (58'), Emiro Garces Torres (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Austin FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 5-1 Austin
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Houston
Sunday, April 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy

Although Austin were thrashed last time out, they were up against the top-of-the-division Whitecaps, while they face bottom-of-the-West Galaxy this weekend. The hosts will be keen to get back to winning ways and their defensive solidity could make it difficult for the struggling Los Angelinos to find their footing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
47.13% (-0.421 -0.42) 23.9% (0.169 0.17) 28.96% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 58.75% (-0.404 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88% (-0.611 -0.61)43.13% (0.611 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48% (-0.608 -0.61)65.53% (0.60799999999999 0.61)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)18.47% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-0.688 -0.69)49.67% (0.688 0.69)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-0.136 -0.14)27.94% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-0.173 -0.17)63.56% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 47.14%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.96%
    Draw 23.9%
Austin FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.9%
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.96%

How you voted: Austin vs LA Galaxy

Austin FC
Draw
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin FC
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Los Angeles Galaxy
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Austin
Pec (31'), Joveljic (76')
Brugman (8'), Puig (14'), Delgado (60'), Micovic (61'), Joveljic (90+5'), Cerrillo (90+11')
Driussi (55')
Hines-Ike (26'), Pereira (31'), Cascante (50'), Wolff (87')
Biro (90+13')
Apr 27, 2024 6.45pm
Austin
2-0
LA Galaxy
Rubio (7'), Obrian (19')
Obrian (27'), Pereira (43'), Valencia (89')

Caceres (9'), Puig (22')
Sep 25, 2023 5.25am
Austin
3-3
LA Galaxy
Ring (11'), Finlay (45+6'), Rigoni (75')
Gallagher (3'), Vaisanen (30')
Puig (45+2' pen.), Joveljic (89'), Barrios (90+4')
Cerrillo (84')
Apr 23, 2023 3.30am
May 29, 2022 11pm
LA Galaxy
4-1
Austin
Hernandez (61'), Joveljic (64', 88'), Alvarez (90')
Raveloson (77'), Joveljic (79')
Fagundez (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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