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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Providence Park
LA Galaxy

Portland
1 - 1
LA Galaxy

Mora (49')
Fory (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramirez (81')
Miller (47'), Mora (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Portland
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Herediano
Thursday, March 13 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Portland Timbers 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy

Playing an exceptionally soft and susceptible Timbers defensive unit is exactly what the Galaxy need to get their campaign back on track, and we expect they will gain a lot of confidence from their performance on Wednesday heading into this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
45.19% (-0.012 -0.01) 22.86% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 31.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 64.3% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.42% (0.07 0.07)36.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.27% (0.076000000000001 0.08)58.74% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.025999999999996 0.03)16.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (0.048000000000002 0.05)22.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (0.07 0.07)56.55% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 45.19%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 31.95%
    Draw 22.86%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Portland vs LA Galaxy

Portland Timbers
Draw
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Los Angeles Galaxy
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 3.30am
Portland
4-2
LA Galaxy
Rodriguez (18'), Evander (39', 51'), Mora (80')
Zuparic (13'), Crepeau (45'), Ayala (52')
Pec (45+3'), Paintsil (59')
Brugman (45+2'), Yoshida (82')
Jul 21, 2024 3.45am
LA Galaxy
3-2
Portland
Pec (38'), Puig (48'), Paintsil (58')
Nelson (90'), Berry (90+6')
Rodriguez (52'), Moreno (73')
Evander (14'), Chara (42'), Zuparic (62'), Miller (90+5'), Rodriguez (90+9')
Oct 1, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
3-3
Portland
Zavaleta (10', 45+1'), Costa (43')
Delgado (13'), Yoshida (54')
Moreno (5'), Zavaleta (38' og.), Mora (76')
Moreno (62')
Mar 25, 2023 8.30pm
Jun 18, 2022 10pm
LA Galaxy
1-1
Portland
Joveljic (88')
DePuy (37'), Grandsir (58'), Joveljic (89')
Chara (38')
Mabiala (10'), Fogaca (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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