Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.