Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
39.21% ( -2.91) | 25.33% ( 0) | 35.47% ( 2.91) |
Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( 0.6) | 47.25% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( 0.55) | 69.48% ( -0.55) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% ( -1.19) | 23.82% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.01% ( -1.74) | 57.99% ( 1.74) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.14% ( 2.05) | 25.86% ( -2.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.16% ( 2.69) | 60.84% ( -2.69) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.35) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |