Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
57.16% (![]() | 22.88% (![]() | 19.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.69% (![]() | 47.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% (![]() | 69.53% (![]() |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% (![]() | 16.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.11% (![]() | 45.88% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.14% (![]() | 37.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% (![]() | 74.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 11.19% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.15% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.15% | 1-1 @ 10.87% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 6% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
4 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
5 | DC United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Orlando City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
13 | New England RevolutionNew England | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
14 | Toronto | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 |
2 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
5 | St Louis City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
7 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Dallas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Houston DynamoHouston | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
13 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
15 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |