We said: Columbus Crew 3-2 Atlanta United
Both sides play an attractive brand of attacking football, and with the quality of 2023 MLS Cup MVP Cucho Hernandez and Giorgos Giakoumakis on display, we expect the back of the net to bulge a few times.
We are giving the Crew the edge because most of their key players and chance creators have played together in big games, whereas this Atlanta side may need more time to familiarise themselves with one another.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 58.33%. A win for Atlanta United has a probability of 20.89% and a draw has a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.29%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Atlanta United win is 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.36%).