Major League Soccer

May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Dajome (9'), Murrell (33')
Ku-Dipietro (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bedoya (42'), McGlynn (79')
Carranza (20'), Flach (45+2'), Lowe (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Seattle
Wednesday, May 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: DC United 2-1 Philadelphia Union

There is little separating the teams heading into this one, and Saturday's clash could easily head either way. That said, we just about back the home side to emerge victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
43.22% ( -0.28)	24.49% ( -0.03)	32.29% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 58.54% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.79% (

0.23)

44.21% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.42% (

0.23)

66.58% (

-0.22)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43% (

-0.03)

20.57% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.91% (

-0.04)

53.09% (

0.05)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

0.31)

26.31% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.57% (

0.41)

61.43% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

DC United 43.23%

Philadelphia Union 32.29%

Draw 24.48%

DC United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.23%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.25% Total : 32.29%