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DC United
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Philadelphia Union

DC United
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Dajome (9'), Murrell (33')
Ku-Dipietro (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bedoya (42'), McGlynn (79')
Carranza (20'), Flach (45+2'), Lowe (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Seattle
Wednesday, May 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-1 Philadelphia Union

There is little separating the teams heading into this one, and Saturday's clash could easily head either way. That said, we just about back the home side to emerge victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.22% (-0.28 -0.28) 24.49% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 32.29% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (0.234 0.23)44.21% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42% (0.227 0.23)66.58% (-0.223 -0.22)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)20.57% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)53.09% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.306 0.31)26.31% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (0.407 0.41)61.43% (-0.405 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    DC United 43.23%
    Philadelphia Union 32.29%
    Draw 24.48%
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 32.29%

How you voted: DC United vs Philadelphia

DC United
63.6%
Draw
0.0%
Philadelphia Union
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-3
Philadelphia
Ku-Dipietro (88')
Miller (36')
Uhre (5'), McGlynn (13'), Gazdag (38' pen.)
Harriel (68'), Glesnes (76'), Donovan (90+4')
May 18, 2023 12.55am
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-6
Philadelphia
Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')
Jul 9, 2022 12.30am
Aug 29, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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