Cincinnati1 - 0NY City
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
for
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
for
We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC
Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture over the years, and we can see Tuesday's clash following suit. That said, we are backing the home side to emerge victorious in front of their fans and put themselves in the driving seat to go through to the next round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York City FC |
51.71% ( -0.51) | 22.19% ( 0.08) | 26.1% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.74% ( -0.01) | 37.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.53% ( -0.01) | 59.47% ( 0.01) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.38% ( -0.17) | 14.62% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.27% ( -0.33) | 42.72% ( 0.33) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( 0.31) | 26.92% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.75% ( 0.4) | 62.25% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.27% Total : 51.71% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.1% |
