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Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
Montreal Impact

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Montreal

Waterman (85' og.)
Yedlin (38'), Lowe (40')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mihailovic (5'), Lappalainen (8'), Kamara (36')
Miller (2'), Piette (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 6 at 1am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

All competitions
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 DC United
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 CF Montreal

 Both of these sides have come a long way from a season ago, but we are giving Montreal the edge because they have managed to win matches thanks to some solid collective efforts, whereas Miami have depended heavily on their designated players, Higuain and Campana, to get by. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawCF Montreal
30.48% (0.127 0.13) 23.38% (0.084 0.08) 46.13% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 61.6% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (-0.34 -0.34)39.8% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (-0.354 -0.35)62.15% (0.349 0.35)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)25.27% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (-0.123 -0.12)60.03% (0.117 0.12)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (-0.217 -0.22)17.56% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.88% (-0.376 -0.38)48.11% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 30.48%
    CF Montreal 46.13%
    Draw 23.37%
Inter MiamiDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 46.13%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Montreal

Inter Miami
57.1%
Draw
0.0%
CF Montreal
42.9%
14
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
2-2
Inter Miami
Quioto (5', 21' pen.)
Waterman (31')
Higuain (6'), Rodriguez (79')
Aug 1, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
2-1
Montreal
Higuain (49' pen., 69')
Gonzalez Pirez (54'), Gregore (77')
Torres (20')
Wanyama (18')
Jul 4, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
1-0
Inter Miami
Choiniere (41')
Wanyama (14'), Struna (54'), Camacho (58')

Gonzalez Pirez (71'), Leerdam (73'), Gregore (76')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
Inter Miami
0-2
Montreal

Gonzalez Pirez (7'), Higuain (60'), Higuain (88')
Johnsen (14', 25')
Miller (33'), Struna (82')
Oct 18, 2020 12am
Montreal
2-1
Inter Miami
Krkic (6'), Urruti (80')
Waterman (90+4')
Shea (33')
Sweat (45+1'), Gonzalez Pirez (69')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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