Major League Soccer

Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 0
Inter Miami

McVey (36' og.)
Cufre (32'), Ilencic (53'), Pellegrini (70'), Gray (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Negri (6'), Mota (47'), Yedlin (51'), Krivtsov (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY City
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Inter Miami

Bringing back two veterans familiar with the New York way of playing should improve the Pigeons' across the board, while we believe Talles Magno could be due for a big match. The Herons have got the job done, but they have still allowed some quality scoring opportunities, while playing on the road is not their strong suit.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Inter Miami
61.39% ( -0.34)	20.62% ( 0.16)	17.99% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.78% (

-0.4)

40.21% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.41% (

-0.41)

62.58% (

0.41)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.37% (

-0.22)

12.63% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.24% (

-0.46)

38.76% (

0.46)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.16% (

-0.03)

35.83% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39% (

-0.04)

72.61% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 61.39%

Inter Miami 17.99%

Draw 20.62%

New York City FC	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.62% Total : 61.39%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 17.99%