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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami

NY City
1 - 0
Inter Miami

McVey (36' og.)
Cufre (32'), Ilencic (53'), Pellegrini (70'), Gray (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Negri (6'), Mota (47'), Yedlin (51'), Krivtsov (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY City
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Inter Miami

 Bringing back two veterans familiar with the New York way of playing should improve the Pigeons' across the board, while we believe Talles Magno could be due for a big match. The Herons have got the job done, but they have still allowed some quality scoring opportunities, while playing on the road is not their strong suit.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
61.39% (-0.337 -0.34) 20.62% (0.155 0.16) 17.99% (0.184 0.18)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.4 -0.4)40.21% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.412 -0.41)62.58% (0.415 0.41)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)12.63% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (-0.456 -0.46)38.76% (0.458 0.46)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)35.83% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.035 -0.04)72.61% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 61.39%
    Inter Miami 17.99%
    Draw 20.62%
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 17.99%

How you voted: NY City vs Inter Miami

New York City FC
46.2%
Draw
15.4%
Inter Miami
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 12am
First Round
NY City
3-0
Inter Miami
Pereira (63'), Moralez (69'), Heber (90+2')

Lassiter (58')
Aug 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
3-2
NY City
Pozuelo (39', 84'), Lassiter (63')
Gregore (32'), Taylor (48'), Pozuelo (84')
Magno (34'), Andrade (45+2')
Morales (41'), Amundsen (55'), Chanot (77'), Rodriguez (86')
Jul 24, 2022 12am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Moralez (12'), Heber (75')
Morales (14')
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Castellanos (21', 45+1' pen.)
Meineche (10'), Parks (66')

Gregore (41'), Leerdam (45+1'), Gibbs (54')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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