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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Charlotte FC

Toronto
4 - 0
Charlotte FC

Osorio (4'), Bradley (10', 45+2'), Bernardeschi (31')
Kaye (67')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Fuchs (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Chelsea (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 21 at 1.35am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Toronto 2-0 Charlotte FC

TFC should get a considerable boost if Insigne finally hits the field, while we expect them to be able to contain a Charlotte attack, who are in good form but can be streaky at times, and in general still struggle on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
48.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 24.39% (0.0039999999999978 0) 27.21% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (0.011000000000003 0.01)46.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01)68.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.28% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)51.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (0.028999999999996 0.03)30.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.034999999999997 0.03)67.22% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 48.4%
    Charlotte FC 27.21%
    Draw 24.38%
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.21%

How you voted: Toronto vs Charlotte FC

Toronto
Draw
Charlotte FC
Toronto
72.7%
Draw
13.6%
Charlotte FC
13.6%
22
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127411810825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131613325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272321101123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Orlando City125521912720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC116141812619
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341513218
8New York City FCNY City125341313018
9Nashville SCNashville115242014617
10New England RevolutionNew England1151598116
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12048516-114

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland115332119218
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
5Seattle SoundersSeattle114431713416
6Colorado RapidsColorado114431516-116
7Austin FCAustin12516714-716
8Dallas114341419-515
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes114162420413
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake114071217-512
11St Louis City11245812-410
12Houston DynamoHouston112451016-610
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038823-153
15San Diego FC00000000


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