Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
5 - 2
LA Galaxy

Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 5-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 2-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Defensive deficiency has been the order of the day for both teams of late, meaning that a high-scoring affair is on the cards here. That said, we just about back Minnesota United to make home advantage count and come away with maximum points in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
57.89% ( -1.17)	20.89% ( 0.24)	21.22% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 60.88% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.47% (

0.18)

36.54% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.32% (

0.2)

58.68% (

-0.19)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.53% (

-0.27)

12.47% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.56% (

-0.58)

38.44% (

0.58)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55% (

0.97)

30.45% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35% (

1.13)

66.66% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 57.89%

Los Angeles Galaxy 21.22%

Draw 20.89%

Minnesota United	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.12% Total : 57.89%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.89%	1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.22%