Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.