We say: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union (LAFC wins on penalties)
These are two elite-level teams who excel in similar categories. Both are capable of scoring in bunches, while the Union have a slight edge defensively, but LA have a solid defensive midfield setup.
While this will be the first MLS Cup Final for either side, LA have veterans who have played on the most prominent football stages, and the experience of Bale and Chiellini, among others, could be that little extra needed to give the Black and Gold a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.08%).