We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
Despite Minnesota's struggles to earn maximums at Allianz Field this year, the Loons are currently on a good run in front of their home faithful and should be confident of extending it on Saturday evening.
Sporting KC have conceded seven goals in their last two outings in all competitions, and we are expecting a third straight away defeat for Vermes's men this weekend.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.