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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
Minnesota United

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Cowell (16')
Gruezo (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pukki (4')
Reynoso (39'), Boxall (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Colorado
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Minnesota United

With only goal difference to split them in the league table, there is likely going to be very little between these two teams at the weekend in what should be a competitive match. However, the recent run of Minnesota United coupled with their strong away form could be enough for them to just edge three points here.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawMinnesota United
50.87% (-1.322 -1.32) 23.12% (0.307 0.31) 26% (1.009 1.01)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)41.71% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)64.11% (0.507 0.51)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)16.51% (0.65 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-1.19 -1.19)46.25% (1.183 1.18)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.515 0.52)29.34% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (0.629 0.63)65.32% (-0.634 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 50.87%
    Minnesota United 26%
    Draw 23.11%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.86% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 50.87%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.19 0.19)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.216 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 26%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 12am
Aug 18, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 26
Earthquakes
1-1
Minnesota Utd

Lopez (90+4')
Cardoso (21')
Trapp (22')
Taylor (82'), Dibassy (89')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Earthquakes

Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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