Cincinnati4 - 3Philadelphia
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia Union
Having only lost narrowly to Inter Miami, Philadelphia will feel that can trouble their hosts on Wednesday night. However, we can only back a convincing home victory, one that will keep the pressure on the leaders. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
52.55% ( 0.85) | 23.57% ( -0.16) | 23.87% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( 0.05) | 45.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( 0.05) | 68.04% ( -0.04) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( 0.34) | 17.37% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.22% ( 0.58) | 47.78% ( -0.58) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( -0.55) | 33.23% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.16% ( -0.62) | 69.84% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.78% Total : 52.55% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.37% Total : 23.87% |
