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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Geodis Park
Portland Timbers

Nashville
2 - 0
Portland

Najar (45+3'), Qasem (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McGraw (5'), Ayala (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Austin
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-0 Portland Timbers

Having stumbled into the new campaign, Nashville now face the stern challenge of a spirited Portland side whom they have failed to get the better of in any of their previous four encounters. However, the Boys in Gold boast a superior and more experienced squad, and we fancy them to secure a much-needed victory in front of their home supporters this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPortland Timbers
50.09% (-0.475 -0.48) 24.3% (0.106 0.11) 25.61% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.155 -0.16)47.32% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.146 -0.15)69.54% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)18.92% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.57% (-0.415 -0.41)50.43% (0.415 0.41)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (0.22 0.22)32.64% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82% (0.245 0.24)69.18% (-0.24499999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 50.09%
    Portland Timbers 25.61%
    Draw 24.3%
Nashville SCDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Nashville vs Portland

Nashville SC
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Portland Timbers
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
Portland
4-1
Nashville
Mora (18'), Rodriguez (22', 24'), Williamson (29')
Surridge (82')
Kallman (90+3')
Anunga (35')
Jul 4, 2022 1.30am
Nashville
2-2
Portland
Davis (19'), Williams (57')
Zimmerman (77')
Asprilla (64' pen.), Niezgoda (70')
Ayala (29'), McGraw (50')
Jul 6, 2020 12am
Mar 8, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 4
Portland
1-0
Nashville
Valeri (12')
Mabiala (5'), Chara (84'), Duvall (90')

Lovitz (29')
rhs 2.0
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