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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 9pm UK
Providence Park
Vancouver Whitecaps

Portland
1 - 4
Vancouver

Antony (73')
Fory (63')
Miller (11')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gauld (24'), Vite (32'), Adekugbe (53'), Nelson (61')
Cubas (36'), Gauld (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Portland
Thursday, October 24 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 Vancouver
Friday, February 21 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps

Both teams are primarily attack-oriented units, and we expect to see them showcase that on Sunday, with plenty of individual quality shining through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
47.29% (-0.07 -0.07) 23.5% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 29.2% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.31% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.85% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)41.15% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.46% (-0.052 -0.05)63.54% (0.052 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)17.64% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.76% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)48.24% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)26.78% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.012 0.01)62.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 47.29%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 29.2%
    Draw 23.5%
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 47.29%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: Portland vs Vancouver

Portland Timbers
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Vancouver Whitecaps
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2024 3.30am
MLS Cup Play-In Round
Vancouver
5-0
Portland
Gauld (20', 31', 59'), White (24'), Armstrong (52')
Takaoka (54'), Raposo (85')

Chara (23'), Evander (70'), Miller (85')
Sep 29, 2024 3.30am
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Portland
2-0
Vancouver
Rodriguez (26'), Mora (43')
Ayala (55')

Schopf (34'), Blackmon (39'), Berhalter (60'), Martins (90+1')
Schopf (52')
Mar 31, 2024 3.30am
Vancouver
3-2
Portland
Gauld (2'), Picault (29'), Raposo (87')
Cubas (51'), Adekugbe (90')
Evander (52'), Mora (77')
Aug 27, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-3
Vancouver
Mora (53'), Evander (85')
Evander (34'), Zuparic (51'), Asprilla (63'), Boli (90+4')
Gauld (13', 60'), White (36')
Cubas (65'), Laryea (90+5'), Takaoka (90+8')
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