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Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Gillette Stadium
Toronto FC

New England
0 - 1
Toronto

FT(HT: 0-1)
Insigne (27')
Bernardeschi (73'), Gomis (82'), Johnson (87'), Akinola (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-1 Toronto

Recent history suggests the Revs should win comfortably, but Toronto should gain a lot of confidence from their opening match, and they should have chances to score against a Revs defensive line who have not been much better than them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
67.98% (-0.211 -0.21) 18.62% (0.114 0.11) 13.4% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.312 -0.31)40.23% (0.31 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.322 -0.32)62.6% (0.32 0.32)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.15% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)10.85% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.05% (-0.313 -0.31)34.94% (0.311 0.31)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)41.75% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)78.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 67.98%
    Toronto 13.4%
    Draw 18.62%
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 67.98%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.4%

How you voted: New England vs Toronto

New England Revolution
Draw
Toronto
New England Revolution
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Toronto
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
New England
Bernardeschi (31' pen.), Criscito (75')
Akinola (35'), Laryea (78')
McNamara (37'), Rennicks (48')
Makoun (29')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew8530126618
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC8512137616
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati8512109116
4Inter MiamiInter Miami7430126615
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia8413139413
6Nashville SCNashville8413128413
7Orlando City83321512312
8Chicago Fire83321412212
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls833297212
10New York City FCNY City83231111011
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta82331113-29
12New England RevolutionNew England721447-37
13DC United8134918-96
14Toronto8044713-64
15CF MontrealMontreal8026413-92

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver86111761119
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8431117415
3Portland TimbersPortland84221310314
4Colorado RapidsColorado84221111014
5Austin FCAustin841368-213
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles84041011-112
7Dallas83231011-111
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes83141612410
9Seattle SoundersSeattle8233911-29
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8305813-59
11St Louis City822456-18
12Houston DynamoHouston8134612-66
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas81161016-64
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy8035615-93
15San Diego FC00000000


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