CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Agustin Muquita Sanchez
Independiente0 - 1New England
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Independiente and New England Revolution.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Instituto 0-2 Independiente
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: New England 0-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, November 9 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, November 9 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Independiente win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | New England Revolution |
14.66% ( 0.65) | 18.42% ( 0.19) | 66.92% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.68% ( 0.55) | 36.32% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.55% ( 0.6) | 58.45% ( -0.6) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( 1.24) | 37.46% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.75% ( 1.19) | 74.25% ( -1.19) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.97% ( -0.05) | 10.03% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.9% ( -0.12) | 33.1% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Independiente 14.66%
New England Revolution 66.92%
Draw 18.42%
| Independiente | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.07% Total : 14.66% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.42% | 0-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 7.62% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 7.48% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.38% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.08% Total : 66.92% |
Form Guide
