CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 1, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Gillette Stadium
New England3 - 0Independiente
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between New England Revolution and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: DC United 3-1 New England
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Independiente 0-1 Racing
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 57.81%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 21.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Independiente |
57.81% ( -0.17) | 20.53% ( 0.05) | 21.66% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.91% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.06) | 34.18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.93% ( -0.06) | 56.07% ( 0.07) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.25% ( -0.06) | 11.75% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.1% ( -0.14) | 36.9% ( 0.14) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0.08) | 28.71% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.46% ( 0.1) | 64.54% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
New England Revolution 57.81%
Independiente 21.66%
Draw 20.53%
| New England Revolution | Draw | Independiente |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 57.81% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.53% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 21.66% |
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2024 1am
Form Guide
