Major League Soccer
Dec 1, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
New England2 - 2NY City
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Rodriguez (3'), Castellanos (109')
Castellanos (18'), Rodriguez (58'), Morales (84')
Castellanos (113')
Castellanos (18'), Rodriguez (58'), Morales (84')
Castellanos (113')
NY City win 5-3 on penalties
We say: New England Revolution 2-1 New York City FC
These teams have a great deal of respect for one another, and for good reason, as they each possess a ton of quality in the final third with strikers who rarely miss even half-chances, plus it is a knockout game, so we are likely to see a lot of hesitancy in the early stages from both sides before things open up a little. The Pigeons have given the Revs a lot to deal with, but there are just so many match-winners on this New England side that it is hard to bet against them even if their top goalscorer does not play. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 49.72% | 23.53% | 26.75% |
| Both teams to score 58.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
