MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:19:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
New York City

Toronto
2 - 3
NY City

Bernardeschi (55'), Petretta (89')
Bernardeschi (22'), Rosted (36'), Long (53')
Bernardeschi (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rodriguez (23' pen.), Jones (44'), Perea (78')
Martinez (29'), Jones (50'), Perea (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Colorado
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 New York City FC

 The Reds have been fairly tidy defensively at BMO Field, conceding a goal or fewer in all but one of their regular season home fixtures, and we believe they will be able to limit the Pigeons' opportunities this weekend. NYCFC are a different side away from home, though they usually can hang around in those contests, which is why we project they will be able to nab a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
44.81% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 26.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.14% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)52.27% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)73.97% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.16% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)32.5% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.061 -0.06)69.03% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 44.81%
    New York City FC 29.14%
    Draw 26.04%
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.81%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Toronto vs NY City

Toronto
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
New York City FC
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 11.30pm
NY City
2-1
Toronto
Rodriguez (24'), O'Toole (64')
Risa (42'), Parks (63'), Sands (90+5'), Haak (90+3')
Parks (68')
Marshall-Rutty (7')
Long (23'), Bernardeschi (28'), O'Neill (71'), Insigne (90+7'), Thompson (90+7')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2023 6pm
NY City
3-0
Toronto
Perea (2'), Jasson (45+4'), Fernandez (54')
Fernandez (90+2')

O'Neill (30')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
1-0
NY City
Sapong (46')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 10pm
NY City
5-4
Toronto
Castellanos (38'), Andrade (49'), Rodriguez (54'), Parks (58'), Pereira (75')
Acevedo (40'), Morales (83')
Morales (90')
Jimenez (13', 27'), Kerr (87'), Bradley (90+1')
Jimenez (44')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Toronto
2-1
NY City
Jimenez (31'), Martins (43' og.)
Heber (90+2')
Martins (59'), Callens (59')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!