Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
33.93% | 24.47% | 41.61% |
Both teams to score 59.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% | 43.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34% | 66% |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% | 25.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% | 59.71% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.95% | 21.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.15% | 53.85% |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |