Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.