Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.19% | 23.39% | 24.43% |
Both teams to score 56.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.65% | 44.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.28% | 66.73% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83% | 17.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.87% | 47.13% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% | 32.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% | 68.48% |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.19% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.54% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-1 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |